Research

Publications

Klebe, F. L. & Metternich, N. W. (2026). Falling On Fertile Ground? Examining The Impact of Sanctions on Opposition Movement Coalitions. Accepted at Journal of Peace Research.

Hegre, H., Vesco, P., Colaresi, M., Vestby, J., Timlick, A., Kazmi, N. S., Klebe, F. L. ... & Walterskirchen, J. (2024). The 2023/24 VIEWS Prediction challenge: Predicting the number of fatalities in armed conflict, with uncertainty Journal of Peace Research.

Work in Progress

Klebe. F. L. (2026). Formalize to Survive? The Logic of Organizational Alliances During Times of Repression. Under Review.

Klebe. F. L. (2026). Triggering Transition: State Repression, Alliances, and the Dynamics of Political Change. Book Manuscript (in progress).

Amat, C. & Klebe. F. L. (2026). The Logic of Alliance Formation in Nonviolent Movements. Working Paper.

Onder, I. & Klebe. F. L. (2026). Inter-Group Mobility in Conflict: The Defection and Co-Membership Dataset (DCD). Working Paper.

Barnum, M, Fariss, C. J., Markowitz, J. N., & Klebe, F. L. (2026). Appropriable Wealth, Autocracy, and Human Rights. Working Paper.

De Juan, A., Haass, F. & Klebe, F. L. (2026). Does Repression Work? Evidence from Prisoner Records in the German Democratic Republic. Work in Progress.

Klebe, F. L. & Metternich, N. W. (2024). A New Domino Effect? Changing External Support Patterns and their Impact on the Rise of Internationalized Armed Conflict. Working paper.

Gleditsch, K. S., Klebe, F. L. & Metternich, N. W. (2024). Random Forest Predictions with Dyad Features. Working paper.