Research

Publications

Hegre, H., Vesco, P., Colaresi, M., Vestby, J., Timlick, A., Kazmi, N. S., Klebe, F. L. ... & Walterskirchen, J. (2024). The 2023/24 VIEWS Prediction challenge: Predicting the number of fatalities in armed conflict, with uncertainty Journal of Peace Research.

Work in Progress

Klebe, F. L. & Metternich, N. W. (2025). Falling On Fertile Ground? Examining The Impact of Sanctions on Opposition Movement Coalitions. Revise and Resubmit at Journal of Peace Research.

Klebe. F. L. (2025). Formalize to Survive? The Logic of Costly Alliances During Times of Repression. Working Paper.

Amat, C. & Klebe. F. L. (2025). The Logic of Alliance Formation in Nonviolent Movements. Working Paper.

Onder, I. & Klebe. F. L. (2025). Inter-Group Mobility in Conflict: The Defection and Co-Membership Dataset (DCD). Working Paper.

Klebe, F. L. & Metternich, N. W. (2024). A New Domino Effect? Changing External Support Patterns and their Impact on the Rise of Internationalized Armed Conflict. Working paper.

Gleditsch, K. S., Klebe, F. L. & Metternich, N. W. (2024). Random Forest Predictions with Dyad Features. Working paper.