Research Publications Hegre, H., Vesco, P., Colaresi, M., Vestby, J., Timlick, A., Kazmi, N. S., Klebe, F. L. ... & Walterskirchen, J. (2024). The 2023/24 VIEWS Prediction Challenge: Predicting the Number of Fatalities in Armed Conflict, with Uncertainty. Forthcoming in Journal of Peace Research. Work in Progress Klebe, F. L. & Metternich, N. W. (2024). Falling On Fertile Ground? Examining The Impact of Sanctions on Opposition Movement Coalitions. Working paper. Submitted for special issue at Journal of Peace Research. Klebe. F. L. (2024). Accomplice or Spoiler? Assessing the Logic of Formal and Informal Alliances During Times of Repression. In preparation for submission in November 2024. Klebe, F. L. & Metternich, N. W. (2024). A New Domino Effect? Changing External Support Patterns and their Impact on the Rise of Internationalized Armed Conflict. Working paper. Gleditsch, K. S., Klebe, F. L. & Metternich, N. W. (2024). Random Forest Predictions with Dyad Features. Working paper. Onder, I. & Klebe. F. L. (2024). Defections and Co-Membership in Armed Conflict: A New Dataset. Work in Progress.